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1. Emma Stone (La La Land)

        Second nomination.

        Stone has all the right ingredients working in her favor: She's a previous nominee, a young ingenue, a box office success, impossibly charming, and starring in this year's Best Picture frontrunner. Though Best Actress was a competitive field, she probably can't lose.

Portman

2. Natalie Portman (Jackie)

        Third nomination (1 win).

        Losing the Golden Globe (to Isabelle Huppert) was a sign of weakness in her campaign for a second Best Actress Oscar, and the film didn't catch on in any of the other major categories, but she's still playing a well known historical figure, which is often catnip to voters.

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3. Isabelle Huppert (Elle)

        First nomination.

        Despite the Golden Globe win and some very passionate supporters, both Elle and Huppert's performance are divisive (and subtitled) - hurdles to overcome when you hope to win a plurality vote. She is, however, an internationally well-respected veteran on her first Oscar nomination, so let's call her the dark horse in this category.

Streep

4. Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

        Twentieth nomination (3 wins).

        That well-publicized Golden Globes speech secured her this record-extending nomination, though unless members are feeling extra political in selecting Meryl, it will undoubtedly be her seventeenth loss.

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5. Ruth Negga (Loving)

        First nomination.

        Negga squeezed out some heavy competition (including Amy Adams and Annette Bening) to land a place in this lineup, but the well-deserved nomination will be her reward this year.