Viola

1. Viola Davis (Fences)

        Third nomination.

        The surest lock of all the acting categories. Narrowly losing Best Actress for The Help in 2011 adds to the "she's due" narrative, and, well, she's due.

Williams

2. Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)

        Fourth nomination.

        A great performance, but she's competing against Viola Davis in Fences.

Harris

3. Naomie Harris (Moonlight)

        First nomination.

        A great performance, but she's competing against Viola Davis in Fences.

Kidman

4. Nicole Kidman (Lion)

        Fourth nomination (1 win).

        A great performance, but she's competing against Viola Davis in Fences.

Spencer

5. Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)

        Second nomination (1 win).

        A great performance, but she's competing against Viola Davis in Fences.