Janney

1. Allison Janney (I, Tonya)

        No previous nominations.

        Janney is hoping to add a first Oscar to her seven Emmy awards, and she's well on her way after wins at the Golden Globes, SAGs, and Critics' Choice Awards.

Metcalf

2. Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)

        No previous nominations.

        The critical favorite, Metcalf, like Janney, is also a previous Emmy winner (as well as recent Tony winner) hoping to add "Oscar nominee" to her resume. Lady Bird is beloved, and this category may be the film's best shot at a win.

Hunter

3. Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)

        Four previous nominations (1 win).

        Actors liked The Big Sick enough to nominate it for Best Ensemble at the SAG Awards, which bodes well for former Best Actress winner Hunter. It's tough to suss out which of the ladies beyond Metcalf and Janney will earn enough #1 placements for a nomination, but Hunter is a good bet.

Spencer

4. Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

        Two previous nominations (1 win).

        After becoming the first black actress to score a nomination after previously winning an Oscar, Spencer might be back in the mix again. Her Shape of Water role is small, but the film is sure to net a handful of nominations and she might be brought along with them.

Blige

5. Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)

        No previous nominations.

        The main thing working against her may be that her performance is in a film "distributed" by Netflix, though if SAG is any indication, actors don't seem to mind that as much as the other branches of the Academy. There's heavy competition for these last three slots...


6. Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)
7. Hong Chau (Downsizing)
8. Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip)