2016 Golden Globe Awards Predictions


'Tis the season! It's Golden Globes night! Hollywood's best and brightest stars of the screen, both big and small, will file into the Beverly Hills Hilton and get drunk for our amusement. Some awards will be handed out (as determined by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association), and host Ricky Gervais will likely make many in the audience uncomfortable. Denzel Washington will receive this year's Cecil B. DeMille Lifetime Achievement Award. So grab a drink or four, follow along with us on Twitter @CineMunch throughout the telecast (starting at 8pm ET on NBC), and read on for my foolhardy predictions for the 73rd Annual Golden Globe Awards!


Best Motion Picture – Drama
“Mad Max: Fury Road”
“The Revenant”
√ “Spotlight”

   The critical favorite and early Oscar frontrunner tends to win the Globe, even if it doesn't manage to eventually win the Oscar ("Brokeback Mountain", "The Social Network", "Boyhood" last year). That gives "Spotlight" the edge here, though really anything is possible with the Globes. A "Mad Max" win would be epic and I'd be equally happy with a "Carol" win, but I suspect/hope "Spotlight" starts its victory march to Oscar right here.

Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
√ “The Big Short”
“The Martian”

   "The Big Short" has come on very strong as a late-breaking Best Picture contender to rival "Spotlight," and will likely ride its recent wave of buzz to narrowly edge out "The Martian" (which may lose a few votes from members who disagree with its placement in the 'comedy' category).

Best Director – Motion Picture
Todd Haynes (“Carol”)
Alejandro G. Iñárritu (“The Revenant”)
Tom McCarthy (“Spotlight”)
√ George Miller (“Mad Max: Fury Road”)
Ridley Scott (“The Martian”)

   Realistically, any of these five men could win. So I'll say George Miller for fun, with Ridley Scott as the spoiler (both directed large spectacle films that voters may respond to - they awarded James Cameron twice, after all).

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
Bryan Cranston (“Trumbo”)
√ Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Revenant”)
Michael Fassbender (“Steve Jobs”)
Eddie Redmayne (“The Danish Girl”)
Will Smith (“Concussion”)

   The easiest call of the night.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Cate Blanchett (“Carol”)
Brie Larson (“Room”)
Rooney Mara (“Carol”)
√ Saoirse Ronan (“Brooklyn”)
Alicia Vikander (“The Danish Girl”)

   The HFPA clearly liked "Room" given its nominations for Picture and Screenplay, so that gives presumed frontrunner Brie Larson even more of an edge with this group, but I have a feeling Ronan sneaks in and takes it. Look out for Rooney Mara though.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Christian Bale (“The Big Short”)
Steve Carell (“The Big Short”)
√ Matt Damon (“The Martian”)
Al Pacino (“Danny Collins”)
Mark Ruffalo (“Infinitely Polar Bear”)

   Seems like an easy win for Damon (which would be his first Golden Globe for acting), but either of the "Big Short" gents could surprise.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Jennifer Lawrence (“Joy”)
Melissa McCarthy (“Spy”)
√ Amy Schumer (“Trainwreck”)
Maggie Smith (“The Lady in the Van”)
Lily Tomlin (“Grandma”)

   I'm really pulling for Tomlin (and think she actually has a chance), but this is likely to come down to megastar Lawrence vs Schumer. Lack of love for "Joy" probably doesn't hurt Lawrence too much (case in point: Amy Adams won for "Big Eyes" in this category last year), but this is likely a coronation for everyone's new favorite It Girl, Amy Schumer.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Paul Dano (“Love & Mercy”)
Idris Elba (“Beasts of No Nation”)
Mark Rylance (“Bridge of Spies”)
Michael Shannon (“99 Homes”)
√ Sylvester Stallone (“Creed”)

   Maybe? Or Idris Elba? Tough to know who might have the advantage here as each of these men represent the sole nomination for their film (with the exception of an Original Song nom for "Love & Mercy").

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Jane Fonda (“Youth”)
Jennifer Jason Leigh (“The Hateful Eight”)
Helen Mirren (“Trumbo”)
√ Alicia Vikander (“Ex Machina”)
Kate Winslet (“Steve Jobs”)

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Emma Donoghue (“Room”)
√ Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer (“Spotlight”)
Charles Randolph, Adam McKay (“The Big Short”)
Aaron Sorkin (“Steve Jobs”)
Quentin Tarantino (“The Hateful Eight”)

Best Original Score
Carter Burwell (“Carol”)
Alexandre Desplat (“The Danish Girl”)
√ Ennio Morricone (“The Hateful Eight”)
Daniel Pemberton (“Steve Jobs”)
Ryuichi Sakamoto Alva Noto (“The Revenant”)

Best Original Song
“Love Me Like You Do” from “Fifty Shades of Grey”
“One Kind of Love” from “Love & Mercy”
√ “See You Again” from “Furious 7”
“Simple Song No. 3” from “Youth”
“Writing’s on the Wall” from “Spectre”

Best Animated Feature Film
“The Good Dinosaur”
√ “Inside Out”
“The Peanuts Movie”
“Shaun the Sheep Movie”

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
“The Brand New Testament”
“The Club”
“The Fencer”
√ “Son of Saul”


Best TV Series – Drama
“Game of Thrones”
√ “Mr. Robot”

   When it comes to television, the Globes love all things new, and this category is proof of that - four of these shows are nominated for their first seasons. "Thrones" has never won at the Globes (and just won the Emmy for the first time back in September), but I think the much-buzzed-about "Mr. Robot" narrowly takes this.

Best TV Series – Comedy
“Mozart in the Jungle”
“Orange Is the New Black”
“Silicon Valley”
√ “Transparent”

   Like "Game of Thrones," the reigning Emmy champ "Veep" has yet to prevail at the Globes, but I suspect a second-in-a-row victory for the recently debuted season two of Amazon's "Transparent" is in the cards.

Best TV Movie or Limited-Series
“American Crime”
“American Horror Story: Hotel”
√ “Fargo”
“Flesh and Bone”
“Wolf Hall”

Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama
Jon Hamm (“Mad Men”)
√ Rami Malek (“Mr. Robot”)
Wagner Moura (“Narcos”)
Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”)
Liev Schreiber (“Ray Donovan”)

Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama
√ Caitriona Balfe (“Outlander”)
Viola Davis (“How to Get Away With Murder”)
Eva Green (“Penny Dreadful”)
Taraji P. Henson (“Empire”)
Robin Wright (“House of Cards”)

Best Actor in a TV Series – Comedy
Aziz Ansari (“Master of None”)
Gael Garcia Bernal (“Mozart in the Jungle”)
√ Rob Lowe (“The Grinder”)
Patrick Stewart (“Blunt Talk”)
Jeffrey Tambor (“Transparent”)

   I mean, it's the Globes...so this is a possible outcome that I'm willing to predict. More conservatively, I think Tambor will win again.

Best Actress in a TV Series – Comedy
√ Rachel Bloom (“Crazy Ex Girlfriend”)
Jamie Lee Curtis (“Scream Queens”)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Veep”)
Gina Rodriguez (“Jane the Virgin”)
Lily Tomlin (“Grace & Frankie”)

   Another "oh who knows, it's the Globes!" prediction. Like her show, Louis-Dreyfus has yet to win here, but Globes voters don't usually care about those narratives. Any one of these funny ladies could take this.

Best Actor in a Limited-Series or TV Movie
Idris Elba (“Luther”)
Oscar Isaac (“Show Me a Hero”)
David Oyelowo (“Nightingale”)
Mark Rylance (“Wolf Hall”)
√ Patrick Wilson (“Fargo”)

Best Actress in a Limited-Series or TV Movie
Kirsten Dunst (“Fargo”)
√ Lady Gaga (“American Horror Story: Hotel”)
Sarah Hay (“Flesh & Bone”)
Felicity Huffman (“American Crime”)
Queen Latifah (“Bessie”)

   More likely this goes to Dunst (who last won for Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture for "Interview with the Vampire" in 1994).

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Limited-Series or TV Movie
Alan Cumming (“The Good Wife”)
Damian Lewis (“Wolf Hall”)
Ben Mendelsohn (“Bloodline”)
√ Tobias Menzies (“Outlander”)
Christian Slater (“Mr. Robot”)

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Limited-Series, or TV Movie
Uzo Aduba (“Orange is the New Black”)
Joanne Froggatt (“Downton Abbey”)
√ Regina King (“American Crime”)
Judith Light (“Transparent”)
Maura Tierney (“The Affair”)