Contrary to what the calendar says, the holidays are not over. They've only just begun! Welcome to Awards Season 2016-2017, continuing this weekend with the Golden Globe Awards!
Hollywood's best and brightest (or in some cases just newest) stars of ALL the screens will gather Sunday night dressed in their second finest frocks for the second most important red carpet of the year. The awards will be handed out by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, whose membership numbers fewer than 100, so their choices do make for the occasional head scratch, eyebrow raise, or spit take. Jimmy Fallon hosts and some lady named Meryl Streep will receive this year's Cecil B. DeMille Lifetime Achievement Award.
So grab a pitcher of your second favorite mixed drink, follow along with us on Twitter @CineMunch throughout the telecast (starting at 8pm ET on NBC), and read on for my foolhardy predictions!
Best Motion Picture – Drama
“Hell or High Water”
“Manchester by the Sea”
With Oscar frontrunner "La La Land" safely cruising to a victory in the Musical/Comedy category, this race is fairly wide open. "Moonlight" and "Manchester" have the critical cache (and the Oscar heat) to make sense here - plus, both received Director & Screenplay nominations with these voters. Lookout for "Hacksaw Ridge" though.
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
“20th Century Women”
√ “La La Land”
“Florence Foster Jenkins”
"La La Land" has the potential to tie or even break the record for most Golden Globe wins for a single film ("One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest" & "Midnight Express" each won 6) - it's the frontrunner in six of its seven races (Screenplay being the award it is least likely to take).
Best Director – Motion Picture
√ Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
Tom Ford (“Nocturnal Animals”)
Mel Gibson (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
√ Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Joel Edgerton (“Loving”)
Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Viggo Mortensen (“Captain Fantastic”)
Denzel Washington (“Fences”)
I'm guessing Affleck continues his slow march towards Oscar here, though he should face stiff competition from a never-better Denzel Washington (who will be at his heels all season).
Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Amy Adams (“Arrival”)
Jessica Chastain (“Miss Sloane”)
Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”)
Ruth Negga (“Loving”)
√ Natalie Portman (“Jackie”)
Adams could surprise (and the Globes do admire her) or Huppert could sneak in if they're in an international mood, but this is Portman's to lose.
Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Colin Farrell (“The Lobster”)
√ Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”)
Hugh Grant (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Jonah Hill (“War Dogs”)
Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”)
Gosling has the advantage of being in a Best Picture frontrunner, but Hugh Grant and, somehow, Ryan Reynolds are real possibilities here.
Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Annette Bening (“20th Century Women”)
Lily Collins (“Rules Don’t Apply”)
Hailee Steinfeld (“The Edge of Seventeen”)
√ Emma Stone (“La La Land”)
Meryl Streep (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Emma Stone and Natalie Portman will battle to the very end for the Oscar, though they'll each get to collect their respective genre's Globes with relative ease.
Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
√ Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”)
Jeff Bridges (“Hell or High Water”)
Simon Helberg (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Dev Patel (“Lion”)
Aaron Taylor-Johnson (“Nocturnal Animals”)
In what was long this awards season's most wide-open race, Ali has been steamrolling the competition and emerged an undeniable leader in this field. Globes voters often like to go their own way though, so they might go for the star power of Bridges or the familiarity of surprise nominee Helberg (apparently millions of people watch "The Big Bang Theory").
Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
√ Viola Davis (“Fences”)
Naomie Harris (“Moonlight”)
Nicole Kidman (“Lion”)
Octavia Spencer (“Hidden Figures”)
Michelle Williams (“Manchester by the Sea”)
"Hell or High Water"
“La La Land”
√ “Manchester by the Sea”
Any of these five scripts has about an equal chance here, but I think "Manchester" has a slight edge.
Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
“Divines” – France
√ “Elle” – France
“Neruda” – Chile
“The Salesman” – Iran/France
“Toni Erdmann” – Germany
"Toni Erdmann" is your Oscar frontrunner and will probably win here, but "Elle" makes sense too.
Best Motion Picture – Animated
“Kubo and the Two Strings”
“My Life as a Zucchini”
Best Original Song – Motion Picture
√ “Can’t Stop the Feeling” (“Trolls”)
“City of Stars” (“La La Land”)
“How Far I’ll Go” (“Moana”)
I'm betting they want to get Justin Timberlake onstage to accept an award for his "Trolls" song, but this is a very tough category. You could say the same for Lin-Manuel Miranda and the "Moana" song (or even Stevie Wonder or Iggy Pop for the other two non-"La La Land" songs). That said, despite lacking the star power of the other nominees, 'City of Stars' is leading the way.
Best Original Score – Motion Picture
Nicholas Britell (“Moonlight”)
√ Justin Hurwitz (“La La Land”)
Johann Johannsson (“Arrival”)
Dustin O’Halloran, Hauschka (“Lion”)
Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams, Benjamin Wallfisch (“Hidden Figures”)
Best Television Series – Drama
√ “The Crown”
“Game of Thrones”
“This Is Us”
Oh, Golden Globes. They can always be counted on to nominate and award TV shows that are brand spanking new - for the second year in-a-row, 80% of the nominees in this category are nominated for their first seasons. The only overlap from last year's roster? "Game of Thrones" - which has yet to prevail at the Globes. This is an exciting lineup, as all five of these programs are in contention. "Westworld" has the freshest buzz and "This Is Us" is a rare hit for broadcast TV (and airs on NBC, the network that airs the Globes), but I think the prestige of "The Crown" narrowly carries it to a win here.
Best Television Series – Comedy
“Mozart in the Jungle”
One never knows with these voters - witness "Mozart in the Jungle" winning last year (and repeating its nomination this year).
Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama
√ Rami Malek (“Mr. Robot”)
Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”)
Matthew Rhys (“The Americans”)
Liev Schreiber (“Ray Donovan”)
Billy Bob Thornton (“Goliath”)
Jon Hamm won last year, so voters have yet to award recent Emmy winner Malek (on a show they awarded Best Drama Series last year). A surprise Rhys victory would be welcome, but it's probably Billy Bob Thornton Malek should be worried about.
Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama
Caitriona Balfe (“Outlander”)
Claire Foy (“The Crown”)
Keri Russell (“The Americans”)
√ Winona Ryder (“Stranger Things”)
Evan Rachel Wood (“Westworld”)
Another nail-biter as each actress has a shot here. Foy seems like the frontrunner or Wood could repeat her Critics Choice Award victory if voters are wild about "Westworld," but who can resist a Wino4ever comeback? I can't.
Best Actor in a TV Series – Comedy
Anthony Anderson (“Black-ish”)
Gael García Bernal (“Mozart in the Jungle”)
√ Donald Glover (“Atlanta”)
Nick Nolte (“Graves”)
Jeffrey Tambor (“Transparent”)
Best Actress in a TV Series – Comedy
Rachel Bloom (“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend”)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Veep”)
Sarah Jessica Parker (“Divorce”)
√ Issa Rae (“Insecure”)
Gina Rodriguez (“Jane the Virgin”)
Tracee Ellis Ross (“Black-ish”)
The only thing they possibly love more than a brand new series or hot new performer (which benefits Issa Rae here) is Sarah Jessica Parker - she has won this category a whopping four times for "Sex and the City."
Best TV Movie or Limited Series
“The Night Manager”
“The Night Of”
√ “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
Best Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Riz Ahmed (“The Night Of”)
Bryan Cranston (“All The Way”)
Tom Hiddleston (“The Night Manager”)
John Turturro (“The Night Of”)
√ Courtney B. Vance (“The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”)
Riz Ahmed could ride a "Star Wars"-sized wave of support to a win here (like Oscar Isaac did in this category last year), but Vance probably adds another trophy to his mantle. Watch out for Tom Hiddleston though.
Best Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Felicity Huffman (“American Crime”)
Riley Keough (“The Girlfriend Experience”)
√ Sarah Paulson (“The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”)
Charlotte Rampling (“London Spy”)
Kerry Washington ("Confirmation")
It has to be Sarah Paulson. Right? She's rightfully won every other conceivable prize for her Marcia Clark.
Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Limited Series or TV Movie
Olivia Colman (“The Night Manager”)
Lena Headey (“Game Of Thrones”)
Chrissy Metz (“This Is Us”)
Mandy Moore (“This Is Us”)
√ Thandie Newton ("Westworld")
I suspect the "This Is Us" ladies will cancel each other out (though Metz wouldn't surprise me). Colman is a true dark-horse and Headey needs to win *something* at some point for her Cersei (this is her first Globe nomination), but Newton is the one to beat.
Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Limited Series or TV Movie
√ Sterling K. Brown (“The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”)
Hugh Laurie (“The Night Manager”)
John Lithgow (“The Crown”)
Christian Slater (“Mr. Robot”)
John Travolta (“The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”)
Being a lead player on "This Is Us" only helps Sterling K. Brown's case here, but Lithgow has the buzz and the Globes love Hugh Laurie. A Travolta win would be the Globe-iest Globes win ever.