2018 Golden Globe Awards Predictions

seth meyers globes

Though the Olympics are but a month away, the real athletic competition starts this weekend with the 75th Annual Golden Globe Awards!

Hollywood's best and brightest (or in some cases just newest) stars of ALL the screens will gather Sunday night dressed in their second finest frocks for the second most important red carpet of the year. The awards will be handed out by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, whose membership numbers fewer than 100, so their choices do make for the occasional head scratch, eyebrow raise, or spit take. Seth Meyers hosts and some lady named Oprah Winfrey will receive this year's Cecil B. DeMille Lifetime Achievement Award.

So grab a pitcher of your second favorite mixed drink, follow along with us on Twitter @CineMunch throughout the telecast (starting at 8pm ET on NBC), and read on for my foolhardy predictions!


Best Motion Picture – Drama
Call Me by Your Name
√ The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

     A strong case can be made for all five of these films, though The Shape of Water seems to hold a narrow lead among prognosticators. With support likely to be split between all five nominees, I'm predicting Spielberg's The Post and its championing of freedom of the press gives it a slight edge with the Hollywood Foreign Press Association.

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
The Disaster Artist
Get Out
The Greatest Showman
I, Tonya
√ Lady Bird

     Likely a tight race between Get Out and Lady Bird, though Lady Bird nabbing a Screenplay nomination and being a more traditional comedy tips the scales in its favor.

Best Director – Motion Picture
Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Ridley Scott (All the Money in the World)
√ Steven Spielberg (The Post)

     Even if Shape of Water doesn't fetch the top prize, Guillermo del Toro has a great chance at winning this race. The same could also be said of Christopher Nolan, but I'll go with Spielberg to match my Post prediction in Best Picture.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
√ Timothée Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
Tom Hanks (The Post)
Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.)

     Gary Oldman has been touted as the Oscar frontrunner all season, though Darkest Hour has dimmed in potential as anything other than a play for Oldman netting a career honor. Globes voters at least nominated Call Me by Your Name for Best Picture, so perhaps that gives Oldman's closest rival Chalamet the edge.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri)
√ Meryl Streep (The Post)
Michelle Williams (All the Money in the World)

     Most would say this race boils down to McDormand vs. Hawkins - and, indeed, Globes voters loved both of their respective films - but I'm not sure how Meryl giving the performance she does in The Post doesn't walk away with another Globe. A very competitive category though.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes)
Ansel Elgort (Baby Driver)
√ James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman)
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)

     Franco and Kaluuya are both in contention for corresponding Oscar nominations and are the frontrunners here.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
√ Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)
Helen Mirren (The Leisure Seeker)

     It's either Margot Robbie or Saoirse Ronan, and though Robbie makes total sense, I'm giving the edge to Ronan.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
√ Armie Hammer (Call Me by Your Name)
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World)
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri)

     Last year the Globes chose Aaron Taylor-Johnson for Nocturnal Animals in this category, so truly anything is possible. Regardless of the outcome here, Willem Dafoe is likely still the Oscar frontrunner.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
Hong Chau (Downsizing)
Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
√ Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

     Just as in Best Actress in a Musical/Comedy, this is down to an actress either from I, Tonya or Lady Bird. And once again, I'm giving the edge to Lady Bird.

Best Screenplay
√ Lady Bird
Molly's Game
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

     Although I'm predicting Lady Bird will win each of its four categories, I don't imagine that's very likely. That said, I think it has a slim advantage here also, though none of these scripts would surprise me if they won.

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
A Fantastic Woman – Chile
√ First They Killed My Father – Cambodia
In the Fade – Germany/France
Loveless – Russia
The Square – Sweden/Germany/France

     First They Killed My Father is the only one of these five that did not make the Oscar's nine-wide shortlist for Foreign Film...but it's also the only one directed by Angelina Jolie.

Best Motion Picture – Animated
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
√ Coco
Loving Vincent

Best Original Song – Motion Picture
“Home” (Ferdinand)
“Mighty River” (Mudbound)
“Remember Me” (Coco)
“The Star” (The Star)
√ “This Is Me” (The Greatest Showman)

Best Original Score – Motion Picture
Carter Burwell (Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Alexandre Desplat (The Shape of Water)
√ Jonny Greenwood (Phantom Thread)
John Williams (The Post)
Hans Zimmer (Dunkirk)


Best Television Series – Drama
The Crown
Game of Thrones
√ The Handmaid's Tale
Stranger Things
This Is Us

     In a rare instance with the Globes (who love all things shiny and new), four of these five repeated their nominations from last year...which probably gives the edge to Emmy champ and first time Globe nominee The Handmaid's Tale.

Best Television Series – Comedy
√ The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Master of None
Will & Grace

     Buzz seems to be with the Amazon show from the creator of Gilmore Girls, but SMILF would also fit the Globes pattern of awarding shows in their first season. Though I guess that could also apply to the rebooted Will & Grace - which, including its two bids this year, has amassed 29 total Golden Globes nominations without a win in any category.

Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama
Jason Bateman (Ozark)
Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us)
√ Freddie Highmore (The Good Doctor)
Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)
Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)

     Reigning Emmy champ Sterling K. Brown is the heavy favorite, but I'll go with former Finding Neverland star Highmore on ABC's unexpectedly successful Good Doctor because why not?

Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama
Caitriona Balfe (Outlander)
Claire Foy (The Crown)
Maggie Gyllenhaal (The Deuce)
Katherine Longford (13 Reasons Why)
√ Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid's Tale)

     While any of these five could win, Moss and Handmaid's Tale are out front.

Best Actor in a TV Series – Comedy
Anthony Anderson (Black-ish)
Aziz Ansari (Master of None)
√ Kevin Bacon (I Love Dick)
William H. Macy (Shameless)
Eric McCormack (Will & Grace)

     Perhaps McCormack will be Will & Grace's first GG win, but, while that makes for a nice narrative, voters also love to award movie stars any chance they get, so look out for Kevin Bacon.

Best Actress in a TV Series – Comedy
Pamela Adlon (Better Things)
Allison Brie (GLOW)
√ Rachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
Issa Rae (Insecure)
Frankie Shaw (SMILF)

Best TV Movie or Limited Series
√ Big Little Lies
Feud: Bette & Joan
The Sinner
Top of the Lake: China Girl

Best Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Robert De Niro (The Wizard of Lies)
Jude Law (The Young Pope)
Kyle MacLachlan (Twin Peaks)
√ Ewan McGregor (Fargo)
Geoffrey Rush (Genius)

     A stacked category of actors even if most are not giving the best performances of their careers. McGregor played twins and his series was nominated for Limited Series, so I give him a slight lead.

Best Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Jessica Biel (The Sinner)
√ Nicole Kidman (Big Little Lies)
Jessica Lange (Feud: Bette & Joan)
Susan Sarandon (Feud: Bette & Joan)
Reese Witherspoon (Big Little Lies)

     I would imagine it's hard to deny Kidman another trophy for her work in Big Little Lies after winning the Emmy against similarly fierce competition. Though I guess we should look out for a Jessica Biel win knowing the curveballs the HFPA likes to throw.

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Limited Series or TV Movie
√ Laura Dern (Big Little Lies)
Ann Dowd (The Handmaid's Tale)
Chrissy Metz (This Is Us)
Michelle Pfeiffer (The Wizard of Lies)
Shailene Woodley (Big Little Lies)

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Limited Series or TV Movie
David Harbour (Stranger Things)
Alfred Molina (Feud: Bette & Joan)
Christian Slater (Mr. Robot)
√ Alexander Skarsgaard (Big Little Lies)
David Thewlis (Fargo)

     I suspect the Globes will love Big Little Lies just as much as the Emmys did last September.