2019 Golden Globe Awards Predictions

oh samberg globes

The marathon of awards season kicks off in earnest tonight with the presentation of the 76th Annual Golden Globe Awards!

Hollywood's best and brightest (or in some cases just newest) stars of ALL the screens will gather Sunday night dressed in their second finest frocks for the second most important red carpet of the year. The awards will be handed out by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, whose membership numbers only around 100, so their choices do make for the occasional head scratch, eyebrow raise, or spit take. Jeff Bridges will receive this year's Cecil B. DeMille Award, and Carol Burnett will be awarded the inaugural lifetime achievement award for television, fittingly titled the Carol Burnett Award.

Read on for my sure-to-be-inaccurate predictions, and tune in starting at 8pm ET on NBC as Sandra Oh and Andy Samberg co-host this year’s drunken soiree!


Best Motion Picture – Drama
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
If Beale Street Could Talk
*A Star is Born

     There’s nothing the HFPA loves more than musicals and movie stars, so I’d be shocked if anything other than A Star is Born took this.

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
*Green Book
Mary Poppins Returns

     Although Vice leads all films with 6 total nominations, I think this race comes down to The Favourite versus Green Book. The Favourite missed out on a Best Director nomination, so I’ll narrowly give the edge to Green Book, though Mary Poppins Returns and Vice also have a path to a win here.

Best Director – Motion Picture
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
*Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
Peter Farrelly (Green Book)
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
Adam McKay (Vice)

     Likely down to Cooper and previous winner Cuarón, and with voters having the opportunity to award Cooper in Best Actor, I’ll say Roma wins this.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
*Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate)
Lucas Hedges (Boy Erased)
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman)

     Malek will put up a good fight (and could take this if Cooper wins Director after all), but I’d say this is Bradley’s to lose.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Glenn Close (The Wife)
*Lady Gaga (A Star is Born)
Nicole Kidman (Destroyer)
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Rosamund Pike (A Private War)

     Gaga is a huge star in a major awards player and she’s already won a Globe for her acting work (for TV’s American Horror Story: Hotel), so I’d say this victory is pretty assured. Plus, each of the last two Star is Born films (from 1954 and 1976) won both Actor and Actress at the Globes, and I’d wager the Cooper-Gaga edition makes it three-in-a-row.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
*Christian Bale (Vice)
Lin-Manuel Miranda (Mary Poppins Returns)
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
Robert Redford (The Old Man & the Gun)
John C. Reilly (Stan & Ollie)

     Vice should prevail on at least one of its six nominations, and it looks likeliest to do so here for Bale’s biopic mimicry, though Mortensen stands a strong chance.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
*Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns)
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Elsie Fisher (Eighth Grade)
Charlize Theron (Tully)
Constance Wu (Crazy Rich Asians)

     A neck-and-neck battle between Blunt and Colman - flip a coin.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
*Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
Timothée Chalamet (Beautiful Boy)
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Sam Rockwell (Vice)

     While Ali won the Oscar a few years back for Moonlight, the Golden Globe was one of the few awards he missed (surprisingly defeated by Nocturnal Animals’ Aaron Taylor-Johnson). I’d expect that changes for him this time, but you never know with the Globes…

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Amy Adams (Vice)
Claire Foy (First Man)
*Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Emma Stone (The Favourite)
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)

     Amy Adams has a couple Globes at home already, and voters clearly responded well to Vice, but I think she’s definitely going to win for HBO’s Sharp Objects on the TV side, so voters might feel less inclined to also hand her this trophy. One of the Favourite ladies winning isn’t outside the realm of possibility, but I’m relatively confident recent awards-magnet Regina King earns her first Globe on her way to an assured Oscar nom.

Best Screenplay
*The Favourite
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
Capernaum – Lebanon
Girl – Belgium
Never Look Away – Germany
*Roma – Mexico
Shoplifters – Japan

     Roma, a strong Oscar Best Picture contender, was ineligible for the main Motion Picture- Drama category with this group on account of it not being in English - strange for an awards body named the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, but regardless, it will handily win in this field.

Best Motion Picture – Animated
*Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-man: Into the Spider-verse

Best Original Song – Motion Picture
“All the Stars” (Black Panther)
“Girl in the Movies” (Dumplin’)
“Requiem for a Private War” (A Private War)
“Revelation” (Boy Erased)
*“Shallow” (A Star is Born)

Best Original Score – Motion Picture
Black Panther
First Man
Isle of Dogs
*Mary Poppins Returns
A Quiet Place


Best Television Series – Drama
The Americans
*Killing Eve

     In typical Globes fashion, four of these series are nominated for their first seasons, while the other, The Americans, is finally nominated for the first time on its sixth and final season. I’m giving a slight edge to Killing Eve, though truly any of these five could win.

Best Television Series – Comedy
The Good Place
The Kominsky Method
*The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

     Repeat winners are rare with the Globes (unlike the Emmys), but Maisel, which won this category last year, released its second season just in time to reignite buzz and stay fresh in voters’ minds.

Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama
Jason Bateman (Ozark)
Stephan James (Homecoming)
*Richard Madden (Bodyguard)
Billy Porter (Pose)
Matthew Rhys (The Americans)

     I’d rule out Bateman, though I’m honestly just throwing darts at this point. But the unpredictability of the Globes is part of their charm and what makes the telecast so fun!

Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama
Caitriona Balfe (Outlander)
Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid’s Tale)
*Sandra Oh (Killing Eve)
Julia Roberts (Homecoming)
Keri Russell (The Americans)

     Hard to bet against Julia freaking Roberts (who is great on Homecoming), but I think this is co-host Oh’s for the taking.

Best Actor in a TV Series – Comedy
Sacha Baron Cohen (Who is America?)
Jim Carrey (Kidding)
Michael Douglas (The Kominsky Method)
Donald Glover (Atlanta)
*Bill Hader (Barry)

     As a well-respected movie star veteran, Michael Douglas makes a lot of sense here - so does, to a lesser extent, former Globes-magnet Carrey - but I predict Hader will nab a Globe to add to the Emmy he won last fall.

Best Actress in a TV Series – Comedy
Kristen Bell (The Good Place)
Candice Bergen (Murphy Brown)
Alison Brie (GLOW)
*Rachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
Debra Messing (Will & Grace)

With her nomination here, Messing tallies Will & Grace’s 30th Golden Globe nomination without a win…and the losing streak will continue as I suspect a Brosnahan repeat is in the cards with Kristen Bell as the spoiler.

Best TV Movie or Limited Series
The Alienist
*The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story
Escape at Dannemora
Sharp Objects
A Very English Scandal

Best Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Antonio Banderas (Genius: Picasso)
Daniel Bruhl (The Alienist)
*Darren Criss (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Patrick Melrose)
Hugh Grant (A Very English Scandal)

Best Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
*Amy Adams (Sharp Objects)
Patricia Arquette (Escape at Dannemora)
Connie Britton (Dirty John)
Laura Dern (The Tale)
Regina King (Seven Seconds)

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Limited Series or TV Movie
Alex Borstein (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
*Patricia Clarkson (Sharp Objects)
Penelope Cruz (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
Thandie Newton (Westworld)
Yvonne Strahovski (The Handmaid’s Tale)

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Limited Series or TV Movie
Alan Arkin (The Kominsky Method)
Kieran Culkin (Succession)
Edgar Ramirez (The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story)
*Ben Whishaw (A Very English Scandal)
Henry Winkler (Barry)

     Maybe his excellent work in Mary Poppins Returns will push Whishaw over the top in this field?